Round Table: Path to COP26 - Financing a Green Future
The Ethical Finance Round Table ‘Path to COP26 – Financing a Green Future’ was held on Feb 27th at Baillie Gifford in Edinburgh. Following a short welcome, Omar Shaikh, GEFI Managing Director outlined GEFI’s plans for 2020:
- Path to COP26
- “Radical Old Idea”
- Ethical Finance Round Tables
- UNDP Finance for Nature Summit
- The SDG Tartan
- Internship programme
This was followed by short presentations from Jonathan Taylor, former Vice President of the European Investment Bank for Environment and Climate Action, and Gary Lapthorn, Head of Sustainability & Responsible Business, Commercial Banking at Lloyds Banking Group.
Jonathan Taylor outlined the history of climate change action, through initial scientific warnings, to the establishment of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) at the Earth Summit in Rio in 1992, and the first landmark international treaty agreed at COP3 in Kyoto (1997). Experts from the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) then warned that, despite the Kyoto Protocol, global warming was still set to worsen, leading to the all countries agreeing at COP21 in Paris (2015) to a global framework designed to avoid dangerous climate change by limiting global warming to well below 2°C and pursuing efforts to limit it to 1.5°C.
Coming 5 years after COP21 and the Paris Agreement, COP26 in Glasgow event offers an opportunity to take stock of progress since Paris and update the Agreement where necessary. In particular, countries will present their plans and progress beyond current declared intentions, which IPCC calculate will lead to 2.6°C – 3.2°C temperature rises.
More attention than ever is focused on the role financial services can play in the fight against climate change, acting as an enabler and transition mechanism for policy, risk management and liquidity. There has been optimism around the UK’s leadership on climate-related regulation in finance, particularly through the Bank of England’s Taskforce on Climate-related Finance Disclosures (TCFD). Ensuring Glasgow is a success will require the right template to be in place for all parties to work and agree upon, and this can only happen with significant bilateral diplomatic efforts. The Global Commission on the Economy and Climate calculates that, while a lack of progress poses huge risks to the world economy, bold climate action could deliver at least $26 trillion in economic benefits through 2030.
Gary Lapthorn next outlined Lloyds Banking Group’s commitment to supporting the UK’s transition to a low-carbon economy through leadership in financing sustainability in businesses, homes, vehicle fleets, pensions, insurance and green bonds. One issue found at Lloyds was lack of knowledge and education. Many experienced financial professionals are keen to act and support the transition, but lack confidence in their ability to lead on environmental issues. To address this, Lloyds partnered with the Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership to provide training.
Lloyds is making concrete commitments in terms of both its own operating emissions and those associated with its loan book. It has pledged to halve emissions associated with its loan book by 2030 and to cut operating emissions by 60% over the same timeframe and is currently ahead of schedule. It has also pledged to move to its energy consumption to being 100% derived from renewables and its vehicle fleet to 100% electric. In addition, Lloyds provides financing for a number of environmentally beneficial projects, such as £273m of direct funding for the worlds biggest offshore windfarm, Hornsea Project One.
The presentations from the two speakers were followed by a lively audience discussion, in which participants and speakers explored the practicalities of combatting emissions through finance. The discussion centred on:
- The extent to which financial institutions are making explicit trade-offs between profit and purpose – Lloyds are willing to accept slightly lower returns when companies agree to do the right thing
- Whether looser capital requirements can be used to encourage climate-related lending
- The role of innovation, and specifically financial innovation, in addressing environmental challenges
- Executive renumeration, and the extent to which commitments are enshrined in incentives for decision-makers
- Whether moves towards sustainability are making financial services an attractive career for graduates again, moving on from the “lost decade” experienced after the global financial crisis
COP26 – Role of Finance in Tackling the Climate Crisis
COP26 – Role of Finance in Tackling the Climate Crisis
This year’s UN Climate Change Conference in Madrid has wrapped up, and all eyes will now focus on Scotland as next year’s host of what is arguably the world’s most important international conference. Also known (somewhat confusingly) as COP 26, Glasgow will be centre stage between 9 and 20 November 2020 as it welcomes an estimated 30,000 delegates from around the world.
Next year’s climate change conference will be particularly important since it will mark five years since the historic Paris Climate Agreement, which committed countries to strengthening actions to combat climate change and limit the global temperature rise this century to below 2 degrees Celsius. We know however that the world is not on-track to cut carbon emissions which must be halved on today’s levels to restrain temperature increases to just 1.5 degrees Celsius, the upper limit advised by climate scientists. Progress will need to be ratcheted up by next year.
Over 500,000 people marched through the centre of Madrid this month, joined by young climate activist Greta Thunberg, to demand quicker action to tackle climate change, yet many have been left frustrated by the lack of urgency that has characterised this year’s climate conference. Madrid has been dominated by disagreements over carbon emissions trading (where more polluting countries can purchase the right to pollute from countries that have not yet reached their emission limits – seen by many as deeply unfair and a false solution to the climate crisis) and an international push to have rich countries pay poorer countries for “loss and damage” associated with irreversible climate change impacts.
Next year, the spotlight is expected to shine on the thorny issue of how to pay for climate damage, and how to mobilise the trillions needed for international climate financing programmes.
Financing needs to tackle the climate crisis are estimated in the trillions worldwide, and are especially high in the poorest countries and those particularly vulnerable to climate change, such as small island states. The UN estimates a US$ 3 trillion annual shortfall in investments needed to meet internationally-agreed climate and sustainable development goals.
A decade ago, industrialised countries pledged to jointly mobilise US$ 100 billion annually in climate finance by 2020 to address their needs. Yet only US$ 71 billion was raised in 2017, mostly from public sector aid budgets (and with most provided as loans). There is a consensus that more resources need to be mobilised from private markets for climate-friendly investments and to support a “just transition” to net-zero.
This is where our work to promote Scotland as a leading international centre for ethical and responsible finance comes in. The climate emergency has underscored the importance – indeed urgency – of building a financial system that has better outcomes for people and planet at its heart. Our work at the Global Ethical Finance Initiative (GEFI) headquartered in Edinburgh, builds on Scotland’s proud heritage in ethical finance and financial services, to convene the world’s foremost political, business and civic leaders to define and shape the transition to a sustainable financial system.
Within the financial services sector, interest has increased significantly over recent years in the ways it can – and should – look beyond short-term profit and shareholder value towards how it can drive positive social, economic and environmental impact. Increasingly, investors and consumers want to be more thoughtful about the impact their money can make on the world. This has led to a plethora of new initiatives and financial products, such as ethical investment funds, sustainability bonds (where the proceeds are exclusively applied to finance green or social projects), and the development of UN-led Principles for Responsible Investment. Globally, the impact investment market is increasingly popular and is now estimated at over US$502 billion (impact investments are those that seek a positive social and environmental impact in addition to a financial return).
At this year’s climate conference, the European Union unveiled its “Green New Deal” intended to transform Europe’s economy and eliminate its contributions to climate change by 2050. Scotland is even more ambitious: this year it adopted landmark legislation to become a net zero society by 2045, and to reduce emissions by 75% by 2030. Delivering a green transformation that will support employment creation, build skills, boost wages and trigger technological advances will require building a new generation of infrastructure and industries. In addition to well-planned public expenditure that can crowd-in private investment, banks will need to ensure they are able to provide the kinds of financing needed to support this transformation. Aligning their business strategies with society’s goals will in turn will help them leverage new business opportunities and remain competitive with the emergence of the sustainable development economy.
Our view is that finance can be a positive force for change. As we enter a “decade of action” on climate and sustainable development, COP26 in Glasgow in 2020 provides an opportunity for Scotland to showcase the important work it is doing to accelerate the transformation towards a more socially responsible and inclusive financial system – one that serves both people and planet.
By Gail Hurley: Senior Consultant, Global Ethical Finance Initiative (GEFI)
Gail was formerly a Senior Advisor to the UN
Follow on Twitter: @gailmlhurley
Follow GEFI on Twitter: @Finance4Change
UN PRB Insights: The Cost of Deliverance
The Cost of Deliverance
The UN PRBs are meant to align banks with the SDGs and the Paris Climate Agreement through a single framework that “embeds sustainability at the strategic, portfolio and transactional levels and across all business areas” (UNEP FI). The principles make goal setting a priority, steering the focus towards high impact issues consistent with each particular organization’s materiality map and encouraging reporting that integrates the impact on all stakeholders. It goes further, something rarely done in initiatives like these, to declare it will delist a signatory if it does not step up. UNEP FI will need to bravely follow through with this threat for the UN PRBs to deliver past the semantics.
The UN PRBs are not perfect, but they are a desperately needed paradigm shift that will see a more innovative approach to a weary and disconnected financial system. Some of the enormous challenges include “being transparent on the scale of your contribution to targets”. Unless more work like the science-based targets initiative is done in a wider range of areas than climate change, other hair-raising issues will tend to fall off the agenda. In addition, sustainable impact takes often years to bear fruit complicating matters. The implied costs of integrating sustainability into the heart of each bank and the skillset of each banker, and spending yet more on technology after a booster year of tech spend is concerning. Who will eventually foot the bill? Banks will need to provide confidence especially to its skeptical retail customers that they won’t.
Banks have already had their share of margin erosions over the last ten years. Costs are still 25% above 2008 levels. Litigation expenses peaked to $137bn in 2014. They are now falling in line with legacy conduct improvements but that signals the expected peak of related restructuring costs (EY Global Banking Outlook 2018). Banks are also spending more on technology transformation and cybersecurity. Other risks such as reputational and conduct remain high as is “improving culture” and remaining relevant in an increasingly regulated environment with market uncertainties and socio-political differences not seen before, certainly not by the generations that make up the armies of bankers in suits today, all infringe on optimal performance of these institutions. So how will they cope with the additional pressure that embracing the UN PRBs will come with in the short term?
Banks will also need to do further stress testing against a wide range of scenarios to understand the impact of embracing sustainability goals within the organizational or business context and the greater marketplace and external forces that will result from potential wide spread adoption on their financial performance and hence their credit ratings. The impact of change on the health of their corporate clients across sectors will need to be considered as well. For example, high greenhouse gas emitters can be found in not only the energy, steel or cement sectors but also the glass, agriculture, real estate, transportation and glass sectors. Stricter environmental standards can lead to higher operating costs, which in turn can impact a client’s probability of default and hence a bank’s non-performing loan ratio, in contrary to the lower default risk UNEP FI seems to suggest.
Following the UN PRBs will require not only a change in the types of services and products offered by banks, but – if implemented in its holistic glory – drastic reformation of a bank’s belief system, its purpose of existence, its brand and communication strategy, its day to day operations, its client base, its risk management system and its approach to remunerating its people amongst other things. This is incredibly brilliant given the potential extinction of the world as we know it that we face today, but equally daunting. Everyone in the ecosystem – governments, NGOs, institutions, service providers, and community leaders – will need to help banks that are willing to work towards these reforms get there. We must see ourselves as stakeholders now and not victims.
